John Fleming, the Louisiana state treasurer and former congressman, advanced to the June 27 Republican Senate runoff against U.S. Representative Julia Letlow after placing second in the May 16 primary. He has continued active campaigning since, including media appearances appealing to additional voters and no public statements signaling withdrawal or suspension. Earlier allegations of job offers tied to a potential exit were publicly declined by Fleming, with no subsequent developments altering his ballot status. Traders assign a 77.5 percent implied probability that he remains in the race through the June 26 resolution deadline, reflecting the short timeline, his continued participation, and absence of recent catalysts for dropout.