OpenAI’s strong recent showing on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives its 74% implied probability, reflecting trader views that its GPT-5.6 series currently leads in agentic web-app scaffolding, React/JavaScript debugging, and multi-step frontend tasks. Earlier 2026 dominance by Anthropic’s Claude models has given way to tighter competition, with fresh releases from Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max and Anthropic’s Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 keeping Chinese labs and other frontier players in contention at lower odds. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai snapshot at end-September, where rapid model updates and benchmark volatility could still shift rankings before the cutoff. Traders weigh demonstrated live performance and pricing against the risk of last-minute capability jumps from rivals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA Code Arena WebDev no final de setembro?
OpenAI 72.4%
Anthropic 25%
Alibaba <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$113,623 Vol.
$113,623 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
72%
Anthropic
25%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 72.4%
Anthropic 25%
Alibaba <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$113,623 Vol.
$113,623 Vol.
30 set 2026
OpenAI
$15,972 Vol.
72%
Anthropic
$49,367 Vol.
25%
Alibaba
$7,274 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$4,737 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$19,209 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,953 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$2,204 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$468 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$559 Vol.
<1%
$3,973 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s strong recent showing on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives its 74% implied probability, reflecting trader views that its GPT-5.6 series currently leads in agentic web-app scaffolding, React/JavaScript debugging, and multi-step frontend tasks. Earlier 2026 dominance by Anthropic’s Claude models has given way to tighter competition, with fresh releases from Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max and Anthropic’s Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 keeping Chinese labs and other frontier players in contention at lower odds. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai snapshot at end-September, where rapid model updates and benchmark volatility could still shift rankings before the cutoff. Traders weigh demonstrated live performance and pricing against the risk of last-minute capability jumps from rivals.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Volume
$113,623Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s strong recent showing on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives its 74% implied probability, reflecting trader views that its GPT-5.6 series currently leads in agentic web-app scaffolding, React/JavaScript debugging, and multi-step frontend tasks. Earlier 2026 dominance by Anthropic’s Claude models has given way to tighter competition, with fresh releases from Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max and Anthropic’s Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 keeping Chinese labs and other frontier players in contention at lower odds. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai snapshot at end-September, where rapid model updates and benchmark volatility could still shift rankings before the cutoff. Traders weigh demonstrated live performance and pricing against the risk of last-minute capability jumps from rivals.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$113,623Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s strong recent showing on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard drives its 74% implied probability, reflecting trader views that its GPT-5.6 series currently leads in agentic web-app scaffolding, React/JavaScript debugging, and multi-step frontend tasks. Earlier 2026 dominance by Anthropic’s Claude models has given way to tighter competition, with fresh releases from Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max and Anthropic’s Fable 5.1/Mythos 5.1 keeping Chinese labs and other frontier players in contention at lower odds. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai snapshot at end-September, where rapid model updates and benchmark volatility could still shift rankings before the cutoff. Traders weigh demonstrated live performance and pricing against the risk of last-minute capability jumps from rivals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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