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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

ago 4

ago 4

A Toxic Love Story 97.0%

72 Hours 2.6%

A Quiet Place: Day One 1.8%

Ordinary Angels 1.5%

Polymarket
NOVO

A Toxic Love Story 97.0%

72 Hours 2.6%

A Quiet Place: Day One 1.8%

Ordinary Angels 1.5%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for A Toxic Love Story

A Toxic Love Story

$7,001 Vol.

97%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$234 Vol.

3%

icon for A Quiet Place: Day One

A Quiet Place: Day One

$195 Vol.

2%

icon for Ordinary Angels

Ordinary Angels

$242 Vol.

2%

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$195 Vol.

2%

icon for Elize: Shadows of a Woman

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

$242 Vol.

1%

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$270 Vol.

1%

icon for Minions

Minions

$195 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sniper: No Nation

Sniper: No Nation

$195 Vol.

<1%

icon for Furious 7

Furious 7

$195 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".A Toxic Love Story holds a dominant 97% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week due to its fresh July 23 release as a gripping true-crime documentary on the Anaheim Craigslist case, which has generated strong audience engagement and critical praise for its rigorous storytelling. True-crime titles routinely drive high viewership on the platform, and early social media discussion around the sensational real-life plot has sustained momentum into early August. Older catalog entries and other recent releases like KPop Demon Hunters face limited competition without comparable current buzz or recency. An upset remains possible if a major new original drops mid-week or if streaming metrics shift dramatically from unexpected audience surges in competing titles.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,965
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".A Toxic Love Story holds a dominant 97% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix movie this week due to its fresh July 23 release as a gripping true-crime documentary on the Anaheim Craigslist case, which has generated strong audience engagement and critical praise for its rigorous storytelling. True-crime titles routinely drive high viewership on the platform, and early social media discussion around the sensational real-life plot has sustained momentum into early August. Older catalog entries and other recent releases like KPop Demon Hunters face limited competition without comparable current buzz or recency. An upset remains possible if a major new original drops mid-week or if streaming metrics shift dramatically from unexpected audience surges in competing titles.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,965
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Toxic Love Story" at 97%, followed by "72 Hours" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "A Toxic Love Story" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72 Hours" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.