Record-breaking $72 million in domestic previews has fueled trader consensus around a 360-390 million global opening weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, with those three bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Strong presales outpacing Deadpool & Wolverine and No Way Home, a 91% Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad demographic appeal including younger female audiences have lifted projections well above Sony’s conservative 190-195 million domestic estimate. International tracking near 275-300 million adds further momentum, though variance in final analyst ranges keeps the top outcomes tightly bunched. The release weekend now underway will provide the decisive data on whether the film lands in the upper or lower half of that cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (ainda maior)
Bilheteria de fim de semana de abertura de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (ainda maior)
370-380m 50%
360-370m 50%
380-390m 49%
400-410m 49%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
<350m
21%
350-360m
49%
360-370m
50%
370-380m
50%
380-390m
49%
390-400m
39%
400-410m
49%
410-420m
22%
420m+
22%
370-380m 50%
360-370m 50%
380-390m 49%
400-410m 49%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
<350m
$0 Vol.
21%
350-360m
$0 Vol.
49%
360-370m
$0 Vol.
50%
370-380m
$0 Vol.
50%
380-390m
$0 Vol.
49%
390-400m
$0 Vol.
39%
400-410m
$0 Vol.
49%
410-420m
$0 Vol.
22%
420m+
$41 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record-breaking $72 million in domestic previews has fueled trader consensus around a 360-390 million global opening weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, with those three bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Strong presales outpacing Deadpool & Wolverine and No Way Home, a 91% Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad demographic appeal including younger female audiences have lifted projections well above Sony’s conservative 190-195 million domestic estimate. International tracking near 275-300 million adds further momentum, though variance in final analyst ranges keeps the top outcomes tightly bunched. The release weekend now underway will provide the decisive data on whether the film lands in the upper or lower half of that cluster.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$41Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record-breaking $72 million in domestic previews has fueled trader consensus around a 360-390 million global opening weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, with those three bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Strong presales outpacing Deadpool & Wolverine and No Way Home, a 91% Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad demographic appeal including younger female audiences have lifted projections well above Sony’s conservative 190-195 million domestic estimate. International tracking near 275-300 million adds further momentum, though variance in final analyst ranges keeps the top outcomes tightly bunched. The release weekend now underway will provide the decisive data on whether the film lands in the upper or lower half of that cluster.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$41Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record-breaking $72 million in domestic previews has fueled trader consensus around a 360-390 million global opening weekend for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, with those three bins holding the highest implied probabilities. Strong presales outpacing Deadpool & Wolverine and No Way Home, a 91% Rotten Tomatoes score, and broad demographic appeal including younger female audiences have lifted projections well above Sony’s conservative 190-195 million domestic estimate. International tracking near 275-300 million adds further momentum, though variance in final analyst ranges keeps the top outcomes tightly bunched. The release weekend now underway will provide the decisive data on whether the film lands in the upper or lower half of that cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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