Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoÓscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 Vol.
$133,344 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
65%
Inde Navarrette
13%
Renate Reinsve
8%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Virginie Efira
1%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 7.7%
$133,344 Vol.
$133,344 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
$89,421 Vol.
65%
Inde Navarrette
$25,359 Vol.
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
8%
Sandra Hüller
$3,457 Vol.
8%
Virginie Efira
$173 Vol.
1%
Ruth Madeley
$711 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$169 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$207 Vol.
1%
Léa Seydoux
$847 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$145 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$255 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$133,344Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,344Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s commanding lead in the Oscars 2027 Best Actress market stems from the rapturous Telluride premiere of Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 dramedy *The Debut*, where her turn as a suburban housewife diving into community theater drew standing ovations and instant frontrunner status among awards pundits. Traders have priced this early critical and industry momentum at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the Academy’s historical preference for veteran performers in crowd-pleasing showcases that also earn strong reviews. Inde Navarrette’s breakout in *Obsession* sits at 13.5% as a plausible spoiler, while Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others trail with lower odds tied to earlier announcements rather than recent screenings. With TIFF underway and guild precursors months away, the race remains fluid pending broader festival reception and campaign traction.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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