Record preview grosses of $72–74.5 million for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, eclipsing *Avengers: Endgame*’s prior benchmark, have anchored trader expectations for a domestic opening day in the low-to-mid $170 million range. Strong presales, a 91% critics score, and minimal superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise reinforce the 65% implied probability on the 172–177 million bucket, while tighter spreads on adjacent tiers reflect ongoing debate over exact Friday performance after the extended Thursday window. Analysts note the film’s global tracking above $250 million domestically for the full weekend could lift the first-day tally further if walk-up business exceeds studio estimates, with final resolution hinging on today’s reported figures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria do Dia de Abertura de "Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia" (Greves Mais Altas)
Bilheteria do Dia de Abertura de "Homem-Aranha: Novo Dia" (Greves Mais Altas)
172-177 milhões 65%
162-167 milhões 55%
167-172 milhões 50%
152-157 milhões 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 jul 2026
<152 milhões
3%
152-157 milhões
48%
157-162 milhões
12%
162-167 milhões
55%
167-172 milhões
50%
172-177 milhões
65%
177-182 milhões
11%
182M+
11%
172-177 milhões 65%
162-167 milhões 55%
167-172 milhões 50%
152-157 milhões 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 jul 2026
<152 milhões
$10 Vol.
3%
152-157 milhões
$0 Vol.
48%
157-162 milhões
$0 Vol.
12%
162-167 milhões
$100 Vol.
55%
167-172 milhões
$0 Vol.
50%
172-177 milhões
$0 Vol.
65%
177-182 milhões
$0 Vol.
11%
182M+
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record preview grosses of $72–74.5 million for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, eclipsing *Avengers: Endgame*’s prior benchmark, have anchored trader expectations for a domestic opening day in the low-to-mid $170 million range. Strong presales, a 91% critics score, and minimal superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise reinforce the 65% implied probability on the 172–177 million bucket, while tighter spreads on adjacent tiers reflect ongoing debate over exact Friday performance after the extended Thursday window. Analysts note the film’s global tracking above $250 million domestically for the full weekend could lift the first-day tally further if walk-up business exceeds studio estimates, with final resolution hinging on today’s reported figures.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$110Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record preview grosses of $72–74.5 million for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, eclipsing *Avengers: Endgame*’s prior benchmark, have anchored trader expectations for a domestic opening day in the low-to-mid $170 million range. Strong presales, a 91% critics score, and minimal superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise reinforce the 65% implied probability on the 172–177 million bucket, while tighter spreads on adjacent tiers reflect ongoing debate over exact Friday performance after the extended Thursday window. Analysts note the film’s global tracking above $250 million domestically for the full weekend could lift the first-day tally further if walk-up business exceeds studio estimates, with final resolution hinging on today’s reported figures.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$110Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Record preview grosses of $72–74.5 million for *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, eclipsing *Avengers: Endgame*’s prior benchmark, have anchored trader expectations for a domestic opening day in the low-to-mid $170 million range. Strong presales, a 91% critics score, and minimal superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise reinforce the 65% implied probability on the 172–177 million bucket, while tighter spreads on adjacent tiers reflect ongoing debate over exact Friday performance after the extended Thursday window. Analysts note the film’s global tracking above $250 million domestically for the full weekend could lift the first-day tally further if walk-up business exceeds studio estimates, with final resolution hinging on today’s reported figures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Sim
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?
50%
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions