Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with multiple July surveys showing figures from 36% to 41% amid ongoing focus on inflation, energy costs, and diplomatic talks with Iran. Traders see limited movement expected by August 7, as no major new economic data or legislative actions have shifted the trajectory sharply in recent days. The tight spread across 37.0–38.9 ranges reflects this stability and historical patterns where short-term approval fluctuates modestly absent major events. Key variables that could separate outcomes include upcoming inflation reports, developments in foreign negotiations, or domestic policy announcements before the measurement date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado37,0–37,4 50%
39,0+ 49%
38,0–38,4 49%
37,5–37,9 46%
<37,0
38%
37,0–37,4
50%
37,5–37,9
46%
38,0–38,4
49%
38,5–38,9
46%
39,0+
49%
37,0–37,4 50%
39,0+ 49%
38,0–38,4 49%
37,5–37,9 46%
<37,0
38%
37,0–37,4
50%
37,5–37,9
46%
38,0–38,4
49%
38,5–38,9
46%
39,0+
49%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with multiple July surveys showing figures from 36% to 41% amid ongoing focus on inflation, energy costs, and diplomatic talks with Iran. Traders see limited movement expected by August 7, as no major new economic data or legislative actions have shifted the trajectory sharply in recent days. The tight spread across 37.0–38.9 ranges reflects this stability and historical patterns where short-term approval fluctuates modestly absent major events. Key variables that could separate outcomes include upcoming inflation reports, developments in foreign negotiations, or domestic policy announcements before the measurement date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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