The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJennifer Flett 100.0%
Wally Daudrich <1%
Edna Nabess <1%
Dan Quesnel <1%
$18,695 Vol.
$18,695 Vol.
Wally Daudrich
No
Edna Nabess
No
Jennifer Flett
Yes
Dan Quesnel
No
Jennifer Flett 100.0%
Wally Daudrich <1%
Edna Nabess <1%
Dan Quesnel <1%
$18,695 Vol.
$18,695 Vol.
Wally Daudrich
No
Edna Nabess
No
Jennifer Flett
Yes
Dan Quesnel
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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