South Carolina's U.S. Senate race remains closely contested following Lindsey Graham's July 2026 death after securing the Republican nomination. His sister Darline Graham was appointed to the seat, while a special August 11 Republican primary will select the general-election nominee against Democrat Annie Andrews, who won her party's primary. Pre-death polling showed Graham leading Andrews by roughly 3–7 points in a state Trump carried by 18 points in 2024, reflecting the GOP's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader pricing across margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes near 50% signals uncertainty over the eventual Republican standard-bearer and whether the vacancy disrupts traditional party-line voting. Key upcoming catalysts include the special primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning or outside spending that could widen or narrow the final margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMargem de Vitória nas Eleições para o Senado da Carolina do Sul
Margem de Vitória nas Eleições para o Senado da Carolina do Sul
Republicano 25-30% 46%
Democrata vence 43%
Republicano 10-15% 42%
Republicano 0-5% 42%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicano 30%+
39%
Republicano 25-30%
46%
Republicano 20-25%
31%
Republicano 15-20%
41%
Republicano 10-15%
42%
Republicano 5-10%
40%
Republicano 0-5%
42%
Democrata vence
43%
Republicano 25-30% 46%
Democrata vence 43%
Republicano 10-15% 42%
Republicano 0-5% 42%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Republicano 30%+
$0 Vol.
39%
Republicano 25-30%
$0 Vol.
46%
Republicano 20-25%
$0 Vol.
31%
Republicano 15-20%
$0 Vol.
41%
Republicano 10-15%
$0 Vol.
42%
Republicano 5-10%
$0 Vol.
40%
Republicano 0-5%
$0 Vol.
42%
Democrata vence
$0 Vol.
43%
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Carolina's U.S. Senate race remains closely contested following Lindsey Graham's July 2026 death after securing the Republican nomination. His sister Darline Graham was appointed to the seat, while a special August 11 Republican primary will select the general-election nominee against Democrat Annie Andrews, who won her party's primary. Pre-death polling showed Graham leading Andrews by roughly 3–7 points in a state Trump carried by 18 points in 2024, reflecting the GOP's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader pricing across margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes near 50% signals uncertainty over the eventual Republican standard-bearer and whether the vacancy disrupts traditional party-line voting. Key upcoming catalysts include the special primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning or outside spending that could widen or narrow the final margin before November.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Carolina's U.S. Senate race remains closely contested following Lindsey Graham's July 2026 death after securing the Republican nomination. His sister Darline Graham was appointed to the seat, while a special August 11 Republican primary will select the general-election nominee against Democrat Annie Andrews, who won her party's primary. Pre-death polling showed Graham leading Andrews by roughly 3–7 points in a state Trump carried by 18 points in 2024, reflecting the GOP's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader pricing across margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes near 50% signals uncertainty over the eventual Republican standard-bearer and whether the vacancy disrupts traditional party-line voting. Key upcoming catalysts include the special primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning or outside spending that could widen or narrow the final margin before November.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina's U.S. Senate race remains closely contested following Lindsey Graham's July 2026 death after securing the Republican nomination. His sister Darline Graham was appointed to the seat, while a special August 11 Republican primary will select the general-election nominee against Democrat Annie Andrews, who won her party's primary. Pre-death polling showed Graham leading Andrews by roughly 3–7 points in a state Trump carried by 18 points in 2024, reflecting the GOP's structural advantages in turnout and fundraising. Trader pricing across margin buckets and head-to-head outcomes near 50% signals uncertainty over the eventual Republican standard-bearer and whether the vacancy disrupts traditional party-line voting. Key upcoming catalysts include the special primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning or outside spending that could widen or narrow the final margin before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O candidato do Partido Republicano vencerá a eleição para governador da Carolina do Sul em 2026 por uma margem de 20% a 25%?
46%
Sim
O candidato do Partido Republicano vencerá a eleição para o Senado da Carolina do Norte em 2026 por uma margem de 3%-6%?
48%
Sim
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 0%-10%?
46%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions