Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 16 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob in the November 3 general election alongside an independent candidate. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal and high baseline support for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if a major scandal, health issue, or unusually low Republican turnout emerges before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOK-04 Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara
OK-04 Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara
$25,389 Vol.
$25,389 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
6%
$25,389 Vol.
$25,389 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,515 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$10,874 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 16 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob in the November 3 general election alongside an independent candidate. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal and high baseline support for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if a major scandal, health issue, or unusually low Republican turnout emerges before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,389Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 16 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob in the November 3 general election alongside an independent candidate. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal and high baseline support for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if a major scandal, health issue, or unusually low Republican turnout emerges before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,389Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Tom Cole secured the Republican nomination in the June 16 primary with over 71 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Mitchell Jacob in the November 3 general election alongside an independent candidate. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, underscoring limited crossover appeal and high baseline support for the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if a major scandal, health issue, or unusually low Republican turnout emerges before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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