Skip to main content
icon for Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

icon for Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?

1 31%

2 22%

<1 18%

3 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

1 31%

2 22%

<1 18%

3 16%

Polymarket
NOVO

<1

$321 Vol.

18%

1

$91 Vol.

31%

2

$112 Vol.

22%

3

$91 Vol.

16%

4+

$422 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s missile testing patterns in 2026 have featured clusters of short-range ballistic launches timed to U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises and national anniversaries, with recent August activity including tests on the 6th and 12th plus a larger salvo near the 20th. Trader pricing across one to three tests for September reflects the balance between routine signaling incentives—such as the September 9 founding anniversary—and potential restraint amid scaled-back drills or diplomatic signals. Separation in the market would likely follow verifiable launch reports tied to specific calendar triggers or shifts in bilateral posture before month-end.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$1,037
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s missile testing patterns in 2026 have featured clusters of short-range ballistic launches timed to U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises and national anniversaries, with recent August activity including tests on the 6th and 12th plus a larger salvo near the 20th. Trader pricing across one to three tests for September reflects the balance between routine signaling incentives—such as the September 9 founding anniversary—and potential restraint amid scaled-back drills or diplomatic signals. Separation in the market would likely follow verifiable launch reports tied to specific calendar triggers or shifts in bilateral posture before month-end.

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.

If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.

Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.

Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.

Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$1,037
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1" at 31%, followed by "2" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" is "1" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em setembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.