North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 so far—individual launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, plus a salvo of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20—timed as signaling against ongoing or concluding U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises that Pyongyang routinely denounces. These events align with established patterns of calibrated activity ahead of drills like Ulchi Freedom Shield, amid broader diplomatic signals including U.S. efforts to scale back exercises and statements from North Korean officials. With roughly one week remaining and no immediate new catalysts reported, trader consensus prices the sub-4 outcome highest, reflecting expectations of limited further launches before month-end while acknowledging that additional drills, high-level meetings, or shifts in U.S. or South Korean posture could still alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNúmero de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em agosto de 2026?
Número de testes de mísseis da Coreia do Norte em agosto de 2026?
<4 57%
4 23.5%
5 9%
6+ 4.7%
$19,644 Vol.
$19,644 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<4
57%
4
24%
5
9%
6+
5%
<4 57%
4 23.5%
5 9%
6+ 4.7%
$19,644 Vol.
$19,644 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<4
$1,314 Vol.
57%
4
$617 Vol.
24%
5
$207 Vol.
9%
6+
$17,506 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 so far—individual launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, plus a salvo of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20—timed as signaling against ongoing or concluding U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises that Pyongyang routinely denounces. These events align with established patterns of calibrated activity ahead of drills like Ulchi Freedom Shield, amid broader diplomatic signals including U.S. efforts to scale back exercises and statements from North Korean officials. With roughly one week remaining and no immediate new catalysts reported, trader consensus prices the sub-4 outcome highest, reflecting expectations of limited further launches before month-end while acknowledging that additional drills, high-level meetings, or shifts in U.S. or South Korean posture could still alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$19,644Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 so far—individual launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, plus a salvo of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20—timed as signaling against ongoing or concluding U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises that Pyongyang routinely denounces. These events align with established patterns of calibrated activity ahead of drills like Ulchi Freedom Shield, amid broader diplomatic signals including U.S. efforts to scale back exercises and statements from North Korean officials. With roughly one week remaining and no immediate new catalysts reported, trader consensus prices the sub-4 outcome highest, reflecting expectations of limited further launches before month-end while acknowledging that additional drills, high-level meetings, or shifts in U.S. or South Korean posture could still alter the final tally.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$19,644Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026 so far—individual launches from the Wonsan area on August 6 and 12, plus a salvo of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20—timed as signaling against ongoing or concluding U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises that Pyongyang routinely denounces. These events align with established patterns of calibrated activity ahead of drills like Ulchi Freedom Shield, amid broader diplomatic signals including U.S. efforts to scale back exercises and statements from North Korean officials. With roughly one week remaining and no immediate new catalysts reported, trader consensus prices the sub-4 outcome highest, reflecting expectations of limited further launches before month-end while acknowledging that additional drills, high-level meetings, or shifts in U.S. or South Korean posture could still alter the final tally.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions