Google's persistent delays with its flagship Gemini Pro model, particularly the long-awaited 3.5 Pro variant teased at I/O in May for a June rollout that slipped into July and beyond, explain the market's heavy weighting toward no release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2 and 3.7 Flash in August, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Google has shifted focus to pretraining the more ambitious Gemini 4, with no confirmed Pro timeline or benchmarks indicating an imminent September launch, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of extended frontier model development cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro 84%
30 de setembro 5.5%
23 de setembro 3.1%
22 de setembro 2.4%
$60,370 Vol.
$60,370 Vol.
30 set 2026
5 de setembro
1%
6 de setembro
<1%
7 de setembro
1%
8 de setembro
<1%
9 de setembro
<1%
10 de setembro
<1%
11 de setembro
1%
12 de setembro
1%
13 de setembro
<1%
14 de setembro
<1%
15 de setembro
2%
16 de setembro
2%
17 de setembro
2%
18 de setembro
<1%
19 de setembro
1%
20 de setembro
1%
21 de setembro
1%
22 de setembro
2%
23 de setembro
3%
24 de setembro
2%
25 de setembro
1%
26 de setembro
1%
27 de setembro
1%
28 de setembro
<1%
29 de setembro
1%
30 de setembro
6%
Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro
84%
Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro 84%
30 de setembro 5.5%
23 de setembro 3.1%
22 de setembro 2.4%
$60,370 Vol.
$60,370 Vol.
30 set 2026
5 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
6 de setembro
$307 Vol.
<1%
7 de setembro
$356 Vol.
1%
8 de setembro
$294 Vol.
<1%
9 de setembro
$302 Vol.
<1%
10 de setembro
$302 Vol.
<1%
11 de setembro
$298 Vol.
1%
12 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
13 de setembro
$302 Vol.
<1%
14 de setembro
$307 Vol.
<1%
15 de setembro
$542 Vol.
2%
16 de setembro
$538 Vol.
2%
17 de setembro
$542 Vol.
2%
18 de setembro
$305 Vol.
<1%
19 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
20 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
21 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
22 de setembro
$579 Vol.
2%
23 de setembro
$449 Vol.
3%
24 de setembro
$579 Vol.
2%
25 de setembro
$298 Vol.
1%
26 de setembro
$300 Vol.
1%
27 de setembro
$302 Vol.
1%
28 de setembro
$480 Vol.
<1%
29 de setembro
$370 Vol.
1%
30 de setembro
$682 Vol.
6%
Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro
$47,535 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays with its flagship Gemini Pro model, particularly the long-awaited 3.5 Pro variant teased at I/O in May for a June rollout that slipped into July and beyond, explain the market's heavy weighting toward no release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2 and 3.7 Flash in August, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Google has shifted focus to pretraining the more ambitious Gemini 4, with no confirmed Pro timeline or benchmarks indicating an imminent September launch, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of extended frontier model development cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$60,370Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's persistent delays with its flagship Gemini Pro model, particularly the long-awaited 3.5 Pro variant teased at I/O in May for a June rollout that slipped into July and beyond, explain the market's heavy weighting toward no release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2 and 3.7 Flash in August, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Google has shifted focus to pretraining the more ambitious Gemini 4, with no confirmed Pro timeline or benchmarks indicating an imminent September launch, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of extended frontier model development cycles.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$60,370Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's persistent delays with its flagship Gemini Pro model, particularly the long-awaited 3.5 Pro variant teased at I/O in May for a June rollout that slipped into July and beyond, explain the market's heavy weighting toward no release by September 30. Recent activity has centered on lighter Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2 and 3.7 Flash in August, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Google has shifted focus to pretraining the more ambitious Gemini 4, with no confirmed Pro timeline or benchmarks indicating an imminent September launch, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of extended frontier model development cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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