New York's long-standing Democratic tilt in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul benefits from structural advantages including party registration edges, consistent support in downstate population centers, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican Bruce Blakeman by roughly ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have struggled to compete for the office. Scenarios that could realistically narrow this gap include significant economic deterioration, major candidate-specific developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge driven by national dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Nova York
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Nova York
$98,093 Vol.
$98,093 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
95%
Republicano
6%
$98,093 Vol.
$98,093 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
$49,037 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$49,056 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's long-standing Democratic tilt in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul benefits from structural advantages including party registration edges, consistent support in downstate population centers, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican Bruce Blakeman by roughly ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have struggled to compete for the office. Scenarios that could realistically narrow this gap include significant economic deterioration, major candidate-specific developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge driven by national dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$98,093Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York's long-standing Democratic tilt in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul benefits from structural advantages including party registration edges, consistent support in downstate population centers, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican Bruce Blakeman by roughly ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have struggled to compete for the office. Scenarios that could realistically narrow this gap include significant economic deterioration, major candidate-specific developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge driven by national dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$98,093Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's long-standing Democratic tilt in statewide contests underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul benefits from structural advantages including party registration edges, consistent support in downstate population centers, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican Bruce Blakeman by roughly ten points. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or likely Democratic, consistent with historical patterns where Republicans have struggled to compete for the office. Scenarios that could realistically narrow this gap include significant economic deterioration, major candidate-specific developments, or an unusually strong Republican turnout surge driven by national dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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