Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 24 de agosto?
27°C 64%
28°C 25%
26°C 10%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
10%
27°C
64%
28°C
25%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 64%
28°C 25%
26°C 10%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$467 Vol.
7%
26°C
$884 Vol.
10%
27°C
$913 Vol.
64%
28°C
$721 Vol.
25%
29°C
$592 Vol.
1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,638Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,638Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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