Recent forecasts from models used by the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and possible light rain or morning clouds limiting stronger heating. This aligns with climatological August highs near 32°C and explains the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated guidance shows no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification expected, keeping 33°C or higher at low implied probability while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent unusual frontal activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 24 de agosto?
31°C 55%
32°C 36%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
55%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 55%
32°C 36%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$605 Vol.
1%
30°C
$851 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,250 Vol.
55%
32°C
$2,234 Vol.
36%
33°C
$613 Vol.
5%
34°C
$916 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$582 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models used by the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and possible light rain or morning clouds limiting stronger heating. This aligns with climatological August highs near 32°C and explains the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated guidance shows no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification expected, keeping 33°C or higher at low implied probability while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent unusual frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,109Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models used by the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and possible light rain or morning clouds limiting stronger heating. This aligns with climatological August highs near 32°C and explains the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated guidance shows no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification expected, keeping 33°C or higher at low implied probability while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent unusual frontal activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,109Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models used by the China Meteorological Administration and international services indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on August 24 will likely reach 31–32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, moderate humidity, and possible light rain or morning clouds limiting stronger heating. This aligns with climatological August highs near 32°C and explains the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Updated guidance shows no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification expected, keeping 33°C or higher at low implied probability while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent unusual frontal activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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