Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Miami’s overnight low on August 12 will settle in the low 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow under high pressure are suppressing radiational cooling, while scattered sea-breeze thunderstorms exert minimal influence on minimum temperatures. This setup matches August climatology, where daily lows average near 80°F and rarely drop below 78°F. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture intrusions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the consensus guidance range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 12 de agosto?
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 5%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 26%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 5%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Miami’s overnight low on August 12 will settle in the low 80s, aligning with the market’s leading 80-81°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical humidity, dew points near 75°F, and light easterly flow under high pressure are suppressing radiational cooling, while scattered sea-breeze thunderstorms exert minimal influence on minimum temperatures. This setup matches August climatology, where daily lows average near 80°F and rarely drop below 78°F. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture intrusions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the consensus guidance range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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