Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate overnight lows near 81°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity, aligning with trader consensus around 80-81°F as the most probable minimum for August 13. Typical August conditions feature dew points in the mid-70s that restrict nocturnal radiative cooling, while light winds and urban heat retention further moderate temperature drops below the 80°F climatological average. Subtle model differences in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing explain the close split with 78-79°F, as any increased moisture or reduced mixing could allow slightly more cooling without major synoptic changes. No tropical systems or cold fronts are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.