Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 13 de agosto?
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 11%
NOVO
$36,065 Vol.
NOVO
$36,065 Vol.
13 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C ou mais
9%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 11%
NOVO
$36,065 Vol.
NOVO
$36,065 Vol.
13 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$542 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$880 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,448 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,328 Vol.
9%
28°C
$3,108 Vol.
11%
29°C
$2,365 Vol.
27%
30°C
$1,905 Vol.
23%
31°C
$3,529 Vol.
16%
32°C ou mais
$14,715 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,065Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,065Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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