Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 12 center on afternoon highs of 37–38°C under scattered clouds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official guidance shows a peak near 38°C (100°F) with a feels-like temperature around 41°C, consistent with seasonal patterns where maxima often reach 34–37°C amid occasional isolated thunderstorms that may cap extreme spikes. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to minimal cooling from overnight lows near 25°C and light winds, while broader regional trends of intensifying summer heat in southwest China provide context for trader positioning around these thresholds. Updated model runs and any afternoon convection developments could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 12 de agosto?
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 23%
35°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
23%
37°C
42%
38°C
26%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 23%
35°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
$129 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$17 Vol.
1%
34°C
$111 Vol.
3%
35°C
$321 Vol.
6%
36°C
$246 Vol.
23%
37°C
$353 Vol.
42%
38°C
$493 Vol.
26%
39°C
$249 Vol.
6%
40°C
$194 Vol.
3%
41°C
$62 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 12 center on afternoon highs of 37–38°C under scattered clouds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official guidance shows a peak near 38°C (100°F) with a feels-like temperature around 41°C, consistent with seasonal patterns where maxima often reach 34–37°C amid occasional isolated thunderstorms that may cap extreme spikes. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to minimal cooling from overnight lows near 25°C and light winds, while broader regional trends of intensifying summer heat in southwest China provide context for trader positioning around these thresholds. Updated model runs and any afternoon convection developments could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,247Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 12 center on afternoon highs of 37–38°C under scattered clouds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official guidance shows a peak near 38°C (100°F) with a feels-like temperature around 41°C, consistent with seasonal patterns where maxima often reach 34–37°C amid occasional isolated thunderstorms that may cap extreme spikes. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to minimal cooling from overnight lows near 25°C and light winds, while broader regional trends of intensifying summer heat in southwest China provide context for trader positioning around these thresholds. Updated model runs and any afternoon convection developments could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,247Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 12 center on afternoon highs of 37–38°C under scattered clouds and high humidity typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Official guidance shows a peak near 38°C (100°F) with a feels-like temperature around 41°C, consistent with seasonal patterns where maxima often reach 34–37°C amid occasional isolated thunderstorms that may cap extreme spikes. Model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to minimal cooling from overnight lows near 25°C and light winds, while broader regional trends of intensifying summer heat in southwest China provide context for trader positioning around these thresholds. Updated model runs and any afternoon convection developments could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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