Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 24 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 24 de agosto?
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
49%
22°C ou mais
57%
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
24 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$241 Vol.
1%
13°C
$76 Vol.
5%
14°C
$228 Vol.
1%
15°C
$140 Vol.
7%
16°C
$339 Vol.
7%
17°C
$165 Vol.
1%
18°C
$165 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10 Vol.
50%
20°C
$140 Vol.
45%
21°C
$140 Vol.
49%
22°C ou mais
$258 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,902Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,902Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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