Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will hold near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, lingering cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the absence of any cold air advection. This aligns with regional patterns where August minima typically range 22–24°C but remain elevated this season amid above-normal warmth and dew points near 24°C. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends, with traders assigning skin-in-the-game weight to the low likelihood of rapid radiational cooling under humid, stable conditions. Only an unforeseen sharp frontal passage could realistically push readings lower, though guidance shows no such signal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 23 de agosto?
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C 17.4%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99.4%
21°C 17.4%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
12°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$110 Vol.
1%
14°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$108 Vol.
1%
16°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$128 Vol.
17%
22°C or higher
$319 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will hold near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, lingering cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the absence of any cold air advection. This aligns with regional patterns where August minima typically range 22–24°C but remain elevated this season amid above-normal warmth and dew points near 24°C. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends, with traders assigning skin-in-the-game weight to the low likelihood of rapid radiational cooling under humid, stable conditions. Only an unforeseen sharp frontal passage could realistically push readings lower, though guidance shows no such signal.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,506Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will hold near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, lingering cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the absence of any cold air advection. This aligns with regional patterns where August minima typically range 22–24°C but remain elevated this season amid above-normal warmth and dew points near 24°C. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends, with traders assigning skin-in-the-game weight to the low likelihood of rapid radiational cooling under humid, stable conditions. Only an unforeseen sharp frontal passage could realistically push readings lower, though guidance shows no such signal.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,506Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from numerical weather models indicate overnight lows in Jinan on August 23 will hold near 25–26°C, driven by high humidity, lingering cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and the absence of any cold air advection. This aligns with regional patterns where August minima typically range 22–24°C but remain elevated this season amid above-normal warmth and dew points near 24°C. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects this robust model consensus and real-time observational trends, with traders assigning skin-in-the-game weight to the low likelihood of rapid radiational cooling under humid, stable conditions. Only an unforeseen sharp frontal passage could realistically push readings lower, though guidance shows no such signal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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