Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid the subtropical monsoon regime, with high humidity and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–28°C because ensemble runs show modest spread from variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and steering influences from distant tropical systems in the South China Sea. Typical August climatology places average lows at 25.5°C, but urban heat island effects and any heavier rain bands could nudge readings a degree or two in either direction; newer model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten probabilities around the current 20% leaders.