Forecasts from multiple meteorological models center Guangzhou's overnight low on August 23 near 26–28 °C, directly aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C (54.5 % implied probability). Persistent monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover suppress radiational cooling overnight while high humidity and light winds limit temperature drops, consistent with subtropical summer baselines where August lows rarely fall below 25 °C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these thresholds, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind could allow brief dips toward 25 °C. Updated guidance ahead of peak overnight hours will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 23 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 23 de agosto?
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
23°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
21%
27°C
54%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 17%
23°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
23 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$236 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$165 Vol.
1%
24°C
$84 Vol.
17%
25°C
$18 Vol.
19%
26°C
$18 Vol.
21%
27°C
$88 Vol.
54%
28°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$224 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models center Guangzhou's overnight low on August 23 near 26–28 °C, directly aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C (54.5 % implied probability). Persistent monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover suppress radiational cooling overnight while high humidity and light winds limit temperature drops, consistent with subtropical summer baselines where August lows rarely fall below 25 °C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these thresholds, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind could allow brief dips toward 25 °C. Updated guidance ahead of peak overnight hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,572Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models center Guangzhou's overnight low on August 23 near 26–28 °C, directly aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C (54.5 % implied probability). Persistent monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover suppress radiational cooling overnight while high humidity and light winds limit temperature drops, consistent with subtropical summer baselines where August lows rarely fall below 25 °C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these thresholds, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind could allow brief dips toward 25 °C. Updated guidance ahead of peak overnight hours will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,572Data de Término
23 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological models center Guangzhou's overnight low on August 23 near 26–28 °C, directly aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 27 °C (54.5 % implied probability). Persistent monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover suppress radiational cooling overnight while high humidity and light winds limit temperature drops, consistent with subtropical summer baselines where August lows rarely fall below 25 °C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these thresholds, though minor shifts in rain timing or wind could allow brief dips toward 25 °C. Updated guidance ahead of peak overnight hours will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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