Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, along with Democratic proposals targeting sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, has not advanced beyond introduction or received committee markup or floor consideration. State-level measures, including Minnesota’s August 2026 ban and enforcement actions in Nevada and Arizona, reflect ongoing jurisdictional friction but have not prompted parallel federal statutory action. The CFTC’s continued permissive stance on event contracts, paired with ongoing rulemaking and litigation over exclusive federal jurisdiction, has limited momentum for a nationwide prohibition. Traders therefore view enactment of a qualifying federal law by year-end as unlikely, consistent with the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the “No” outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLei que proíbe mercados de previsão esportiva promulgada em 2026?
Lei que proíbe mercados de previsão esportiva promulgada em 2026?
Sim
18% chance
$18,836 Vol.
$18,836 Vol.
29 jun 2026
Sim
18% chance
$18,836 Vol.
$18,836 Vol.
29 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, along with Democratic proposals targeting sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, has not advanced beyond introduction or received committee markup or floor consideration. State-level measures, including Minnesota’s August 2026 ban and enforcement actions in Nevada and Arizona, reflect ongoing jurisdictional friction but have not prompted parallel federal statutory action. The CFTC’s continued permissive stance on event contracts, paired with ongoing rulemaking and litigation over exclusive federal jurisdiction, has limited momentum for a nationwide prohibition. Traders therefore view enactment of a qualifying federal law by year-end as unlikely, consistent with the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$18,836Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, along with Democratic proposals targeting sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, has not advanced beyond introduction or received committee markup or floor consideration. State-level measures, including Minnesota’s August 2026 ban and enforcement actions in Nevada and Arizona, reflect ongoing jurisdictional friction but have not prompted parallel federal statutory action. The CFTC’s continued permissive stance on event contracts, paired with ongoing rulemaking and litigation over exclusive federal jurisdiction, has limited momentum for a nationwide prohibition. Traders therefore view enactment of a qualifying federal law by year-end as unlikely, consistent with the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$18,836Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan legislation such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act, introduced in March 2026 by Senators Curtis and Schiff, along with Democratic proposals targeting sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms, has not advanced beyond introduction or received committee markup or floor consideration. State-level measures, including Minnesota’s August 2026 ban and enforcement actions in Nevada and Arizona, reflect ongoing jurisdictional friction but have not prompted parallel federal statutory action. The CFTC’s continued permissive stance on event contracts, paired with ongoing rulemaking and litigation over exclusive federal jurisdiction, has limited momentum for a nationwide prohibition. Traders therefore view enactment of a qualifying federal law by year-end as unlikely, consistent with the 82.5% implied probability assigned to the “No” outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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