Skip to main content
icon for Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?
Política·Trump

Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?

icon for Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?
Política·Trump

Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$19,677 Vol.

Sim

7% chance
Polymarket

$19,677 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. House Republicans advanced and passed the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, prohibiting members of Congress, spouses, and dependents from purchasing new individual stocks while permitting retention and sales of existing holdings with advance disclosure. The measure cleared the House on a 232-198 vote but includes a voter ID provision and faces uncertain Senate consideration amid competing priorities and limited bipartisan support for broader divestiture requirements. Stronger proposals mandating blind trusts or full divestment, such as Democratic-led Senate bills, remain stalled in committee without scheduled floor action. These procedural and partisan dynamics, combined with the narrow scope of enacted restrictions and the short timeline remaining in 2026, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive ban will not take effect before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,677
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. House Republicans advanced and passed the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, prohibiting members of Congress, spouses, and dependents from purchasing new individual stocks while permitting retention and sales of existing holdings with advance disclosure. The measure cleared the House on a 232-198 vote but includes a voter ID provision and faces uncertain Senate consideration amid competing priorities and limited bipartisan support for broader divestiture requirements. Stronger proposals mandating blind trusts or full divestment, such as Democratic-led Senate bills, remain stalled in committee without scheduled floor action. These procedural and partisan dynamics, combined with the narrow scope of enacted restrictions and the short timeline remaining in 2026, underpin trader expectations that a comprehensive ban will not take effect before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,677
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Relacionado

icon for O Congresso derrubará algum veto em 2026?

O Congresso derrubará algum veto em 2026?

7%
Sim
icon for Will the US House Censure any member by October 31?

Will the US House Censure any member by October 31?

62%
icon for O controle de exportação de segurança de chips se tornará lei este ano?

O controle de exportação de segurança de chips se tornará lei este ano?

52%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Proibição de negociação de ações pelo Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" is "Proibição de negociação de ações pelo Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Proibição de negociação de ações do Congresso dos EUA antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.