Lai Ching-te's fixed four-year term, running through May 2028 following his 2024 inauguration, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal by end-2026. An opposition-led impeachment motion in the Legislative Yuan failed in May 2026 after securing only a simple majority, short of the required two-thirds threshold amid disputes over revenue-sharing legislation. As of mid-August 2026, Lai continues official duties including security forums and military inspections without reported health concerns or resignation signals. While divided government with KMT-TPP legislative control creates ongoing friction, structural barriers including term protections and supermajority requirements limit realistic early-exit paths absent unforeseen events such as acute medical issues or a successful follow-on removal process.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
4% chance
$105,616 Vol.
$105,616 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Sim
4% chance
$105,616 Vol.
$105,616 Vol.
30 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te's fixed four-year term, running through May 2028 following his 2024 inauguration, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal by end-2026. An opposition-led impeachment motion in the Legislative Yuan failed in May 2026 after securing only a simple majority, short of the required two-thirds threshold amid disputes over revenue-sharing legislation. As of mid-August 2026, Lai continues official duties including security forums and military inspections without reported health concerns or resignation signals. While divided government with KMT-TPP legislative control creates ongoing friction, structural barriers including term protections and supermajority requirements limit realistic early-exit paths absent unforeseen events such as acute medical issues or a successful follow-on removal process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$105,616Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lai Ching-te's fixed four-year term, running through May 2028 following his 2024 inauguration, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal by end-2026. An opposition-led impeachment motion in the Legislative Yuan failed in May 2026 after securing only a simple majority, short of the required two-thirds threshold amid disputes over revenue-sharing legislation. As of mid-August 2026, Lai continues official duties including security forums and military inspections without reported health concerns or resignation signals. While divided government with KMT-TPP legislative control creates ongoing friction, structural barriers including term protections and supermajority requirements limit realistic early-exit paths absent unforeseen events such as acute medical issues or a successful follow-on removal process.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$105,616Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Lai Ching-te's fixed four-year term, running through May 2028 following his 2024 inauguration, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal by end-2026. An opposition-led impeachment motion in the Legislative Yuan failed in May 2026 after securing only a simple majority, short of the required two-thirds threshold amid disputes over revenue-sharing legislation. As of mid-August 2026, Lai continues official duties including security forums and military inspections without reported health concerns or resignation signals. While divided government with KMT-TPP legislative control creates ongoing friction, structural barriers including term protections and supermajority requirements limit realistic early-exit paths absent unforeseen events such as acute medical issues or a successful follow-on removal process.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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