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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang

Wang Chung-ming 68%

Tsao Erh-yuan 24%

Tsao Erh-chang 13%

NOVO

Wang Chung-ming 68%

Tsao Erh-yuan 24%

Tsao Erh-chang 13%

NOVO
icon for Wang Chung-ming

Wang Chung-ming

$251 Vol.

68%

icon for Tsao Erh-yuan

Tsao Erh-yuan

$182 Vol.

24%

icon for Tsao Erh-chang

Tsao Erh-chang

$101 Vol.

13%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds the leading position in the November 2026 magistrate race amid a field that includes multiple low-probability entrants and repeat challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan and Tsao Erh-chang. His edge stems from name recognition, administrative record on local infrastructure and cross-strait connectivity, and KMT organizational support in a jurisdiction that has consistently favored the party in prior cycles. The contest stays close because the small electorate amplifies personal networks, potential independent or intra-party candidacies, and voter focus on issues like tourism development, transport links, and economic ties with the mainland. Scheduled KMT nomination processes and any late registration shifts could still alter the field before ballots are finalized.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$534
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds the leading position in the November 2026 magistrate race amid a field that includes multiple low-probability entrants and repeat challengers such as Tsao Erh-yuan and Tsao Erh-chang. His edge stems from name recognition, administrative record on local infrastructure and cross-strait connectivity, and KMT organizational support in a jurisdiction that has consistently favored the party in prior cycles. The contest stays close because the small electorate amplifies personal networks, potential independent or intra-party candidacies, and voter focus on issues like tourism development, transport links, and economic ties with the mainland. Scheduled KMT nomination processes and any late registration shifts could still alter the field before ballots are finalized.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$534
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wang Chung-ming" at 68%, followed by "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" is "Wang Chung-ming" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tsao Erh-yuan" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Lienchiang" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.