NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos furacões se formarão durante a temporada de furacões do Atlântico em 2026?
1-3 45%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 7%
0
7%
1-3
45%
4-6
37%
7+
32%
1-3 45%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 7%
0
7%
1-3
45%
4-6
37%
7+
32%
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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