**Trader sentiment strongly favors 25°C as the day's high temperature in Taipei on September 6, 2026 (88.8% implied probability), with 26°C a distant second (10.3%).** Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast highs well below the September climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Official monitoring from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and multiple real-time sources show current temperatures hovering near 24°C amid heavy precipitation and high humidity (often >90%), with limited solar radiation preventing significant afternoon warming. Model consensus and recent observations align on a peak near 25°C, as the rain-cooled air mass and overcast conditions limit the typical diurnal rise. Higher thresholds like 27°C or above carry minimal odds (<3% combined) due to these conditions, while 24°C or below remains unlikely given the day's trajectory. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of live observational data and short-range forecasts, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by September 6 local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 6 de setembro?
25°C 82.1%
26°C 12.5%
27°C 1.8%
24°C ou menos <1%
$38,690 Vol.
$38,690 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
85%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 82.1%
26°C 12.5%
27°C 1.8%
24°C ou menos <1%
$38,690 Vol.
$38,690 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
85%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors 25°C as the day's high temperature in Taipei on September 6, 2026 (88.8% implied probability), with 26°C a distant second (10.3%).** Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast highs well below the September climatological average of roughly 30–31°C. Official monitoring from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and multiple real-time sources show current temperatures hovering near 24°C amid heavy precipitation and high humidity (often >90%), with limited solar radiation preventing significant afternoon warming. Model consensus and recent observations align on a peak near 25°C, as the rain-cooled air mass and overcast conditions limit the typical diurnal rise. Higher thresholds like 27°C or above carry minimal odds (<3% combined) due to these conditions, while 24°C or below remains unlikely given the day's trajectory. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of live observational data and short-range forecasts, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by September 6 local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions