Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for August 26 point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in the Seoul-Incheon region under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance, reflecting post-heatwave moderation after early-August extremes exceeding 40°C elsewhere. Cloud cover and easterly flow patterns are limiting further intensification, while Incheon’s coastal location often runs 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul stations on similar setups. Trader consensus favors 30–31°C outcomes because model runs show variability in exact peak timing and because official verification uses specific station criteria rather than broader regional highs. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 26 de agosto?
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 23%
28°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
23%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts for August 26 point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in the Seoul-Incheon region under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% precipitation chance, reflecting post-heatwave moderation after early-August extremes exceeding 40°C elsewhere. Cloud cover and easterly flow patterns are limiting further intensification, while Incheon’s coastal location often runs 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul stations on similar setups. Trader consensus favors 30–31°C outcomes because model runs show variability in exact peak timing and because official verification uses specific station criteria rather than broader regional highs. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions