Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 24 de agosto?
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
$18,177 Vol.
$18,177 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
40%
22°C
44%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
23°C 10%
20°C 7%
$18,177 Vol.
$18,177 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
40%
22°C
44%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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