Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 90–92°F on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Trader consensus favoring the 92–93°F bin over 90–91°F reflects lingering effects of the recent heat dome that produced a 100°F reading earlier in the month, combined with above-average sea-surface temperatures that can support modest additional warming before sea-breeze or convective cooling begins. Differentiation between these two bins hinges on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can shave 1–2°F off the daily maximum if they initiate before peak heating, versus suppressed convection allowing temperatures to edge higher. Model runs remain closely clustered around the seasonal normal of 89–90°F, leaving limited room for outliers above 94°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 24 de agosto?
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 34%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F ou mais
<1%
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 34%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to a daytime high near 90–92°F on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Trader consensus favoring the 92–93°F bin over 90–91°F reflects lingering effects of the recent heat dome that produced a 100°F reading earlier in the month, combined with above-average sea-surface temperatures that can support modest additional warming before sea-breeze or convective cooling begins. Differentiation between these two bins hinges on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms, which can shave 1–2°F off the daily maximum if they initiate before peak heating, versus suppressed convection allowing temperatures to edge higher. Model runs remain closely clustered around the seasonal normal of 89–90°F, leaving limited room for outliers above 94°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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