Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and modest mid-level moisture, support the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Recent extreme heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has normalized, with model consensus now favoring values close to the August climatological average of 89°F rather than further escalation. Updated runs show limited intensification potential before convective cooling begins, keeping 94°F+ outcomes at low implied probability while reinforcing trader alignment with official guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 23 de agosto?
92-93°F 70%
90-91°F 19%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 1.3%
$16,889 Vol.
$16,889 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
70%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98°F ou mais
1%
92-93°F 70%
90-91°F 19%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 1.3%
$16,889 Vol.
$16,889 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
70%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Miami International Airport indicate a daytime high near 91–92°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by typical late-summer sea-breeze convergence and modest mid-level moisture, support the market’s strong preference for the 92–93°F bin. Recent extreme heat, including a 100°F reading on August 18, has normalized, with model consensus now favoring values close to the August climatological average of 89°F rather than further escalation. Updated runs show limited intensification potential before convective cooling begins, keeping 94°F+ outcomes at low implied probability while reinforcing trader alignment with official guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions