Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 12 de agosto?
24°C 44%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,223 Vol.
$28,223 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
44%
25°C
29%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,223 Vol.
$28,223 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
$1,593 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$947 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,875 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,617 Vol.
5%
23°C
$6,241 Vol.
13%
24°C
$4,899 Vol.
44%
25°C
$2,271 Vol.
29%
26°C
$2,221 Vol.
10%
27°C
$985 Vol.
1%
28°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,953 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$28,223Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,223Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources like TimeandDate and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 12, 2026, under overcast skies with light southeasterly winds, driving the market's strong tilt toward 24°C (42.5% implied probability) and 25°C (28.5%). This positioning reflects a stabilizing air mass after a weak cold front introduced cooler conditions mid-week, capping prior peaks near 28°C on August 8 while keeping humidity moderate in the city's subtropical winter regime. Model agreement on limited insolation and no significant warming advection supports the narrow clustering around these outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 26°C+ reflecting the low chance of rapid clearing or northerly flow shifts before official daily readings close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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