Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 12 de agosto?
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
36%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
36%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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