Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources aligned with NOAA and European meteorological centers show Moscow's August 10 maximum temperature most likely peaking near 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because ensemble forecasts indicate limited daytime heating from a stable air mass, with surface highs constrained by overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection expected. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while recent model runs have held steady without significant upward revisions that would shift probability toward 26°C or higher. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance and official observations through the day, as small changes in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final recorded peak within the narrow 23–25°C band favored by current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 10 de agosto?
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
23°C 16%
22°C 8%
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
43%
25°C
33%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C ou mais
1%
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
23°C 16%
22°C 8%
20°C ou menos
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
43%
25°C
33%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources aligned with NOAA and European meteorological centers show Moscow's August 10 maximum temperature most likely peaking near 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because ensemble forecasts indicate limited daytime heating from a stable air mass, with surface highs constrained by overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius and no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection expected. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while recent model runs have held steady without significant upward revisions that would shift probability toward 26°C or higher. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance and official observations through the day, as small changes in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final recorded peak within the narrow 23–25°C band favored by current consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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