Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 10 de agosto?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
26°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
26°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$71 Vol.
1%
24°C
$28 Vol.
1%
25°C
$22 Vol.
3%
26°C
$9 Vol.
7%
27°C
$5 Vol.
32%
28°C
$7 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$155Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$155Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for Istanbul on August 10 shows model consensus favoring a daily maximum of 28–29°C, driven by persistent high pressure, light northerly winds, and the city’s moderating Bosphorus and Black Sea influence. This aligns with August climatology (historical averages near 28°C) and current extended forecasts indicating sunny conditions without significant warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader probabilities cluster at these levels because deviations would require unexpected shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture, which short-range ensembles currently assign low likelihood. Updated Turkish State Meteorological Service runs and regional model outputs expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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