Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C for Milan’s peak temperature on August 12 stems from the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, which show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, yet with modest spread in simulated boundary-layer warming and urban heat-island amplification. Recent model updates have nudged the median maximum slightly higher while maintaining a 1–2 °C uncertainty band driven by afternoon convective timing and exact surface moisture. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 30–32 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official Italian Meteorological Service briefings expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 12 de agosto?
34°C 38%
35°C 36%
33°C 11%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
38%
35°C
36%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 36%
33°C 11%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
29°C or below
$143 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$48 Vol.
1%
32°C
$88 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1,096 Vol.
11%
34°C
$495 Vol.
38%
35°C
$300 Vol.
36%
36°C
$374 Vol.
10%
37°C
$70 Vol.
2%
38°C
$39 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C for Milan’s peak temperature on August 12 stems from the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, which show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, yet with modest spread in simulated boundary-layer warming and urban heat-island amplification. Recent model updates have nudged the median maximum slightly higher while maintaining a 1–2 °C uncertainty band driven by afternoon convective timing and exact surface moisture. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 30–32 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official Italian Meteorological Service briefings expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,992Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C for Milan’s peak temperature on August 12 stems from the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, which show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, yet with modest spread in simulated boundary-layer warming and urban heat-island amplification. Recent model updates have nudged the median maximum slightly higher while maintaining a 1–2 °C uncertainty band driven by afternoon convective timing and exact surface moisture. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 30–32 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official Italian Meteorological Service briefings expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,992Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C for Milan’s peak temperature on August 12 stems from the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, which show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, yet with modest spread in simulated boundary-layer warming and urban heat-island amplification. Recent model updates have nudged the median maximum slightly higher while maintaining a 1–2 °C uncertainty band driven by afternoon convective timing and exact surface moisture. Historical August climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs near 30–32 °C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly. New 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus official Italian Meteorological Service briefings expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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