Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 27–31°C range for September 21, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms limiting peak heating. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (33.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting model consensus on modest daytime insolation beneath building cloud and the moderating effect of higher humidity and light northeast winds. Recent anticyclone influence has kept recent days drier and warmer, but its retreat allows greater convective activity that caps maximum temperatures. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs will clarify whether isolated clearing permits a 32°C reading or persistent showers hold readings near 30°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 21 de setembro?
31°C 39%
32°C 37%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
29%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C ou mais
12%
31°C 39%
32°C 37%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
25°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$230 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$70 Vol.
24%
31°C
$64 Vol.
34%
32°C
$57 Vol.
29%
33°C
$0 Vol.
15%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 27–31°C range for September 21, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms limiting peak heating. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (33.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting model consensus on modest daytime insolation beneath building cloud and the moderating effect of higher humidity and light northeast winds. Recent anticyclone influence has kept recent days drier and warmer, but its retreat allows greater convective activity that caps maximum temperatures. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs will clarify whether isolated clearing permits a 32°C reading or persistent showers hold readings near 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$426Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 27–31°C range for September 21, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms limiting peak heating. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (33.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting model consensus on modest daytime insolation beneath building cloud and the moderating effect of higher humidity and light northeast winds. Recent anticyclone influence has kept recent days drier and warmer, but its retreat allows greater convective activity that caps maximum temperatures. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs will clarify whether isolated clearing permits a 32°C reading or persistent showers hold readings near 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$426Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a 27–31°C range for September 21, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms limiting peak heating. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (33.5%) and 32°C (28.5%), reflecting model consensus on modest daytime insolation beneath building cloud and the moderating effect of higher humidity and light northeast winds. Recent anticyclone influence has kept recent days drier and warmer, but its retreat allows greater convective activity that caps maximum temperatures. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs will clarify whether isolated clearing permits a 32°C reading or persistent showers hold readings near 30°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions