Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum of 32°C on September 20 under an anticyclone aloft, with sunny periods, dry and hot daytime conditions, light east to northeast winds of force 2-3, and only isolated showers possible later. This setup favors peak readings near the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability, while afternoon convection or slightly higher humidity (55-90%) could cap temperatures at 31°C (29%) or allow brief spikes to 33°C (28%). Historical September maxima near 30-31°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and low precipitation risk through midday support the narrow clustering around 31-33°C among traders. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 20 de setembro?
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
NOVO
$15,024 Vol.
NOVO
$15,024 Vol.
20 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
38%
33°C
30%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
NOVO
$15,024 Vol.
NOVO
$15,024 Vol.
20 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,281 Vol.
3%
31°C
$2,355 Vol.
21%
32°C
$2,533 Vol.
38%
33°C
$4,950 Vol.
30%
34°C
$638 Vol.
2%
35°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$577 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum of 32°C on September 20 under an anticyclone aloft, with sunny periods, dry and hot daytime conditions, light east to northeast winds of force 2-3, and only isolated showers possible later. This setup favors peak readings near the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability, while afternoon convection or slightly higher humidity (55-90%) could cap temperatures at 31°C (29%) or allow brief spikes to 33°C (28%). Historical September maxima near 30-31°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and low precipitation risk through midday support the narrow clustering around 31-33°C among traders. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,024Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum of 32°C on September 20 under an anticyclone aloft, with sunny periods, dry and hot daytime conditions, light east to northeast winds of force 2-3, and only isolated showers possible later. This setup favors peak readings near the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability, while afternoon convection or slightly higher humidity (55-90%) could cap temperatures at 31°C (29%) or allow brief spikes to 33°C (28%). Historical September maxima near 30-31°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and low precipitation risk through midday support the narrow clustering around 31-33°C among traders. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,024Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a maximum of 32°C on September 20 under an anticyclone aloft, with sunny periods, dry and hot daytime conditions, light east to northeast winds of force 2-3, and only isolated showers possible later. This setup favors peak readings near the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability, while afternoon convection or slightly higher humidity (55-90%) could cap temperatures at 31°C (29%) or allow brief spikes to 33°C (28%). Historical September maxima near 30-31°C provide context, but the current stable high-pressure pattern and low precipitation risk through midday support the narrow clustering around 31-33°C among traders. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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