Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern China have driven Hong Kong toward a daily maximum near 33°C on September 19, aligning with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models. Current observations show district peaks of 32–34°C under low humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where afternoon highs often reach the low 30s but rarely exceed 34°C without tropical moisture. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight consensus from real-time data and limited variability in steering patterns. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers could cap temperatures at 32°C or below, though such shifts remain unlikely before evening based on the latest model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 19 de setembro?
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
$96,216 Vol.
$96,216 Vol.
19 set 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
$96,216 Vol.
$96,216 Vol.
19 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,348 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,908 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,982 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15,800 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$32,799 Vol.
100%
34°C
$8,706 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou mais
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern China have driven Hong Kong toward a daily maximum near 33°C on September 19, aligning with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models. Current observations show district peaks of 32–34°C under low humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where afternoon highs often reach the low 30s but rarely exceed 34°C without tropical moisture. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight consensus from real-time data and limited variability in steering patterns. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers could cap temperatures at 32°C or below, though such shifts remain unlikely before evening based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$96,216Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern China have driven Hong Kong toward a daily maximum near 33°C on September 19, aligning with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models. Current observations show district peaks of 32–34°C under low humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where afternoon highs often reach the low 30s but rarely exceed 34°C without tropical moisture. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight consensus from real-time data and limited variability in steering patterns. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers could cap temperatures at 32°C or below, though such shifts remain unlikely before evening based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,216Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern China have driven Hong Kong toward a daily maximum near 33°C on September 19, aligning with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models. Current observations show district peaks of 32–34°C under low humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with September climatology where afternoon highs often reach the low 30s but rarely exceed 34°C without tropical moisture. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight consensus from real-time data and limited variability in steering patterns. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers could cap temperatures at 32°C or below, though such shifts remain unlikely before evening based on the latest model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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