**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunny intervals, influenced by lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon.** This setup favors highs near 29–30°C as increased cloud cover, humidity around 70–95%, and moderate northwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6) limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows slight variations in shower timing and intensity, creating the close market split between 29°C (32%) and 30°C (28%), while 31°C holds lower odds at 17.5% pending updated model runs and observational data closer to the date. September’s climatological average near 31°C provides context, but current synoptic patterns point to modestly suppressed peaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
24°C or below
$415 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$512 Vol.
16%
29°C
$200 Vol.
32%
30°C
$116 Vol.
28%
31°C
$141 Vol.
18%
32°C
$380 Vol.
6%
33°C
$157 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunny intervals, influenced by lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon.** This setup favors highs near 29–30°C as increased cloud cover, humidity around 70–95%, and moderate northwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6) limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows slight variations in shower timing and intensity, creating the close market split between 29°C (32%) and 30°C (28%), while 31°C holds lower odds at 17.5% pending updated model runs and observational data closer to the date. September’s climatological average near 31°C provides context, but current synoptic patterns point to modestly suppressed peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,256Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunny intervals, influenced by lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon.** This setup favors highs near 29–30°C as increased cloud cover, humidity around 70–95%, and moderate northwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6) limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows slight variations in shower timing and intensity, creating the close market split between 29°C (32%) and 30°C (28%), while 31°C holds lower odds at 17.5% pending updated model runs and observational data closer to the date. September’s climatological average near 31°C provides context, but current synoptic patterns point to modestly suppressed peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,256Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 26–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and brief sunny intervals, influenced by lingering effects from Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon.** This setup favors highs near 29–30°C as increased cloud cover, humidity around 70–95%, and moderate northwest winds of 4–5 (gusts to 6) limit daytime heating compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows slight variations in shower timing and intensity, creating the close market split between 29°C (32%) and 30°C (28%), while 31°C holds lower odds at 17.5% pending updated model runs and observational data closer to the date. September’s climatological average near 31°C provides context, but current synoptic patterns point to modestly suppressed peaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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