Persistent high pressure and a strong upper-level ridge over North Texas are driving the National Weather Service forecast of 105–106°F for Dallas on August 18, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that promote maximum surface heating while limiting vertical mixing. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F (51%) and 106–107°F (30%) bins, which together capture over 80% implied probability. The region’s above-average summer temperatures, placing DFW on pace for one of its warmest Augusts on record, provide supportive context, though any late-day cloud development or minor steering shifts could nudge readings within the 102–107°F range. Updated model consensus and official observations will refine resolution near the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 18 de agosto?
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
$13,689 Vol.
$13,689 Vol.
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 4%
$13,689 Vol.
$13,689 Vol.
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a strong upper-level ridge over North Texas are driving the National Weather Service forecast of 105–106°F for Dallas on August 18, 2026, under clear skies and light winds that promote maximum surface heating while limiting vertical mixing. These conditions align with the market’s leading 104–105°F (51%) and 106–107°F (30%) bins, which together capture over 80% implied probability. The region’s above-average summer temperatures, placing DFW on pace for one of its warmest Augusts on record, provide supportive context, though any late-day cloud development or minor steering shifts could nudge readings within the 102–107°F range. Updated model consensus and official observations will refine resolution near the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions