Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 6 de agosto?
37°C 29%
36°C 25%
38°C 19%
35°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
30°C ou menos
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
17%
36°C
25%
37°C
29%
38°C
19%
39°C
7%
40°C ou mais
5%
37°C 29%
36°C 25%
38°C 19%
35°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
30°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C
$10 Vol.
2%
34°C
$3 Vol.
10%
35°C
$2 Vol.
17%
36°C
$0 Vol.
25%
37°C
$0 Vol.
29%
38°C
$16 Vol.
19%
39°C
$96 Vol.
7%
40°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$137Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 36°C in Beijing on August 6, driven by persistent summer high pressure, light southerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors daytime heating. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but current atmospheric conditions including elevated humidity and the urban heat island effect support slightly warmer outcomes, with afternoon convection offering the main uncertainty for whether readings reach 37–38°C or stay capped near 36°C. Traders weigh the latest model runs against typical diurnal ranges and any last-minute steering changes ahead of final CMA updates on August 5.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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