Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Ankara on August 19 will most likely reach 31–32 °C under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in model physics—particularly boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local topography effects around the Anatolian plateau—account for the spread, while climatological August highs near 32 °C provide context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs against observed trends, recognizing that small shifts in moisture or insolation could tip the daily maximum either way before official station readings at Esenboğa resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 19 de agosto?
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
33°C 7%
30°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
49%
32°C
41%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 41%
33°C 7%
30°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
26°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$576 Vol.
3%
30°C
$655 Vol.
5%
31°C
$2,116 Vol.
49%
32°C
$535 Vol.
41%
33°C
$378 Vol.
7%
34°C
$706 Vol.
1%
35°C
$215 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Ankara on August 19 will most likely reach 31–32 °C under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in model physics—particularly boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local topography effects around the Anatolian plateau—account for the spread, while climatological August highs near 32 °C provide context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs against observed trends, recognizing that small shifts in moisture or insolation could tip the daily maximum either way before official station readings at Esenboğa resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,092Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Ankara on August 19 will most likely reach 31–32 °C under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in model physics—particularly boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local topography effects around the Anatolian plateau—account for the spread, while climatological August highs near 32 °C provide context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs against observed trends, recognizing that small shifts in moisture or insolation could tip the daily maximum either way before official station readings at Esenboğa resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,092Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate peak daytime temperatures in Ankara on August 19 will most likely reach 31–32 °C under predominantly sunny conditions with light winds, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtle differences in model physics—particularly boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and local topography effects around the Anatolian plateau—account for the spread, while climatological August highs near 32 °C provide context. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs against observed trends, recognizing that small shifts in moisture or insolation could tip the daily maximum either way before official station readings at Esenboğa resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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