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icon for Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

icon for Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?

$53,587 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$53,587 Vol.

Polymarket

60%+

$28,525 Vol.

66%

65%+

$13,582 Vol.

31%

70%+

$5,265 Vol.

17%

75%+

$2,857 Vol.

12%

80%+

$1,151 Vol.

7%

90%+

$2,206 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus/Mythos variants currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by iterative reasoning improvements, extended context handling, and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question expert-curated benchmark spanning mathematics, physics, and other domains. This rapid climb from mid-40s percent earlier in the year reflects competitive pressure among frontier labs, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 trailing by several points while Google and smaller players post lower figures. Trader sentiment on the overall 2026 high centers on continued model cadence and reasoning optimizations before year-end, tempered by the benchmark’s design to resist quick saturation and the possibility of evaluation-condition differences across sources. Key near-term catalysts include additional 2026 releases and any official tool-use or multimodal updates that could shift the frontier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$53,587
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://agi.safe.ai/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus/Mythos variants currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 59–65% as of early September 2026, driven by iterative reasoning improvements, extended context handling, and tool-augmented evaluation on the 2,500-question expert-curated benchmark spanning mathematics, physics, and other domains. This rapid climb from mid-40s percent earlier in the year reflects competitive pressure among frontier labs, with OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 Astra and Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 trailing by several points while Google and smaller players post lower figures. Trader sentiment on the overall 2026 high centers on continued model cadence and reasoning optimizations before year-end, tempered by the benchmark’s design to resist quick saturation and the possibility of evaluation-condition differences across sources. Key near-term catalysts include additional 2026 releases and any official tool-use or multimodal updates that could shift the frontier.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$53,587
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://agi.safe.ai/

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60%+" at 66%, followed by "65%+" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" has generated $53.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" is "60%+" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "65%+" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior pontuação no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.