OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra launch and prior GPT-5.5/5.4 Pro releases have driven trader focus on whether the lab can close the gap on HLE before year-end. As of early September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 lead public leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy, while OpenAI’s strongest reported results sit at 54.7–58.7%. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on frontier reasoning progress, with emphasis on tool-augmented performance, extended thinking modes, and rapid iteration cycles typical of the sector. Key swing factors include any additional OpenAI model drops, benchmark methodology updates, or demonstrated gains in agentic workflows that could push an OpenAI system past 60% by December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMaior pontuação OpenAI no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
Maior pontuação OpenAI no Último Exame da Humanidade em 2026?
$76,741 Vol.
31 dez 2026
50%+
90%
55% ou mais
78%
60%+
38%
65%+
19%
70%+
11%
$76,741 Vol.
50%+
$12,199 Vol.
90%
55% ou mais
$29,260 Vol.
78%
60%+
$25,322 Vol.
38%
65%+
$5,491 Vol.
19%
70%+
$4,469 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra launch and prior GPT-5.5/5.4 Pro releases have driven trader focus on whether the lab can close the gap on HLE before year-end. As of early September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 lead public leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy, while OpenAI’s strongest reported results sit at 54.7–58.7%. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on frontier reasoning progress, with emphasis on tool-augmented performance, extended thinking modes, and rapid iteration cycles typical of the sector. Key swing factors include any additional OpenAI model drops, benchmark methodology updates, or demonstrated gains in agentic workflows that could push an OpenAI system past 60% by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volume
$76,741Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra launch and prior GPT-5.5/5.4 Pro releases have driven trader focus on whether the lab can close the gap on HLE before year-end. As of early September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 lead public leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy, while OpenAI’s strongest reported results sit at 54.7–58.7%. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on frontier reasoning progress, with emphasis on tool-augmented performance, extended thinking modes, and rapid iteration cycles typical of the sector. Key swing factors include any additional OpenAI model drops, benchmark methodology updates, or demonstrated gains in agentic workflows that could push an OpenAI system past 60% by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$76,741Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra launch and prior GPT-5.5/5.4 Pro releases have driven trader focus on whether the lab can close the gap on HLE before year-end. As of early September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 lead public leaderboards at 59–65% accuracy, while OpenAI’s strongest reported results sit at 54.7–58.7%. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on frontier reasoning progress, with emphasis on tool-augmented performance, extended thinking modes, and rapid iteration cycles typical of the sector. Key swing factors include any additional OpenAI model drops, benchmark methodology updates, or demonstrated gains in agentic workflows that could push an OpenAI system past 60% by December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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