Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...? — Discussão

PoorWithCryptos · 2025-12-16T19:36:41.877Z

Discussão sobre Taxa do Fed cortada em...?. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

$3,193,004 Vol.

7 jan 2027

Reunião de Setembro

$302,473 Vol.

Reunião de Outubro

$104,802 Vol.

Reunião de Dezembro

$290,527 Vol.

13%

$3,193,004 Vol.

Reunião de Setembro

$302,473 Vol.

Reunião de Outubro

$104,802 Vol.

Reunião de Dezembro

$290,527 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with solid GDP growth, resilient labor-market data, and elevated energy prices, have shifted trader expectations toward a hold or modest hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 29 decision to keep the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase, underscoring internal hawkishness. CME FedWatch futures currently price roughly 64% odds of no change and 36% for a hike to 3.75–4.00% in September, with limited probability assigned to any cut this year. Market-implied paths now point to potential tightening later in 2026 rather than easing, reflecting revised analyst forecasts that push first-rate reductions into 2027. Traders will closely monitor incoming CPI, PCE, and employment releases for signs that could alter the near-term policy trajectory.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado 25 de ago. de 2026, 15:01 UTC

Mar 4 2026

Fed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%

The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.

Mar 4 2026

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Jan 2 2023

Fed Rate Hike Looms

The Federal Reserve is set to release minutes from its December meeting, with expectations of a 50 to 75 basis point interest rate hike in February, potentially impacting various markets. Discussions and speeches from Fed officials, including Fed Bullard, are anticipated to provide further insight into the direction of monetary policy amidst concerns over the economic impact on American families.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado 25 de ago. de 2026, 15:01 UTC

Mar 4 2026

Fed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%

The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.

Mar 4 2026

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This is a test annotation summary with no malicious content.

Jan 2 2023

Fed Rate Hike Looms

Relacionado

Corte emergencial da taxa pelo Fed antes de 2027?

Sim

Aumento da Taxa Fed até a Reunião de Outubro de 2026?

43%

Sim

A taxa máxima do Fed chegará a 4,25% ou mais antes de 2027?

12%

Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reunião de Dezembro" at 13%, followed by "Reunião de Outubro" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" is "Reunião de Dezembro" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Reunião de Outubro" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.2 million traded on “Taxa do Fed cortada em...?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 13¢ for "Reunião de Dezembro" in the "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 13% chance that "Reunião de Dezembro" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 13¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 87¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 7, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?" market has an active community of 29 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

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Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Relacionado

Comentários (29)

Top Holders

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Frequently Asked Questions

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How do I start trading on "Taxa do Fed cortada em...?"?

What does a price of 13¢ for "Reunião de Dezembro" mean?

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