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What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

NOVO
28 ago 2026
Polymarket

$8,665 Vol.

Polymarket

Bank / Asset 10+ times

$88 Vol.

55%

Task Force 5+ times

$82 Vol.

65%

Stable 5+ times

$166 Vol.

31%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

$165 Vol.

61%

Challenge

$230 Vol.

58%

Framework

$387 Vol.

75%

Prediction / Predictive

$760 Vol.

28%

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

$409 Vol.

48%

Regime

$529 Vol.

77%

Integrity

$215 Vol.

28%

Productivity

$568 Vol.

82%

Independent / Independence

$113 Vol.

74%

2008 / Financial Crisis

$721 Vol.

46%

Good Day

$1,490 Vol.

35%

Good Morning

$381 Vol.

59%

Trump

$685 Vol.

4%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$889 Vol.

16%

Gold

$637 Vol.

12%

Too Late

$100 Vol.

8%

-No Qualifying Event-

$49 Vol.

50%

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole keynote on August 28, his initial major address since becoming Fed Chair in May 2026, centers trader attention on whether he will outline a monetary-policy regime shift. Recent statements emphasize framing long-term structural questions over near-term rate signals, with the Fed explicitly “not constrained by market prices,” a stance that markets have interpreted as potentially hawkish. This aligns with the new, leaner communications approach featuring shorter FOMC statements, reduced forward guidance, and continued post-meeting press conferences. July CPI data showing easing inflation and a 9-3 hold decision at 3.50-3.75 percent provide the immediate backdrop, while dissenters favoring a hike highlight internal divisions. The symposium’s focus on financial innovation and the September FOMC meeting with updated projections will shape how any framework comments on inflation targeting or process reforms are priced into Treasury yields and rate-path expectations.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,665
Data de Término
28 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole keynote on August 28, his initial major address since becoming Fed Chair in May 2026, centers trader attention on whether he will outline a monetary-policy regime shift. Recent statements emphasize framing long-term structural questions over near-term rate signals, with the Fed explicitly “not constrained by market prices,” a stance that markets have interpreted as potentially hawkish. This aligns with the new, leaner communications approach featuring shorter FOMC statements, reduced forward guidance, and continued post-meeting press conferences. July CPI data showing easing inflation and a 9-3 hold decision at 3.50-3.75 percent provide the immediate backdrop, while dissenters favoring a hike highlight internal divisions. The symposium’s focus on financial innovation and the September FOMC meeting with updated projections will shape how any framework comments on inflation targeting or process reforms are priced into Treasury yields and rate-path expectations.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,665
Data de Término
28 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Productivity" at 82%, followed by "Regime" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" is "Productivity" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Regime" at 77%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.